Here we go again. As the United States continues to be the leading example for Albert Einstein’s definition of insanity by going to war in the Middle East for the 6th or 7th time in the past 50 years, President Trump is gearing up to send troops back into Syria in an attempt to “wipe out ISIS” in 30 days.
Oh, and there’s a kicker, as always – according to several advisers, a plan that the Pentagon submitted to the Trump administration does not include any increase in cooperation with Russia. This is most likely due to the political scuffle caused by the Democrats, accusing Trump and his cabinet of having illegal business and political dealings with the eastern european giant. This could also be due to the fact that top military advisers, including General Jim “Mad Dog” Mattis, have reported that 80% of airstrikes have been dedicated to only fighting rebels attempting to overthrow Syrian president Bashar Al-Assad, not necessarily the Islamic State. This comes as a dismay to many who were looking forward to increased relations and cooperation with Russia. In addition, many actually believe that we have a chance to win against ISIS with Russia’s cooperation, instead of throwing ourselves into another endless proxy war.
The instability of the White House’s attitude towards Russia and its plan to attack ISIS is proving more and more everyday that war in Syria may very well end up like Iraq. President Trump has already committed to allocating 400 Marines to Syria and will send 2,500 troops to Kuwait to be used in Iraq as well. The White House has also approved a $54 billion increase in defense spending.
Lone war in Syria will not only fail, but it will fail for the same reasons that war in Iraq failed. There are too many decentralized factions engaging in street level civil war with changing objectives. Many believed the Kurds were a friendly force against ISIS, as they were secular and welcomed women to fight alongside them in their battles. However even they lead a massacre against Assyrian Catholics living in Northern Iraq. As Ronald Reagan said, the politics of the Middle East are too irrational for us to engage.
Furthermore, the only stabilizing force in Syria is the Assad regime, yet the United States has continually strengthened its stance on supporting regime change in Syria. Bashar Al-Assad has been quoted as saying that the United States will be seen as invaders in Syria, if they choose to come. Russia had been welcomed in Syria due its belief that since Assad’s regime is the only organized establishment in the Syrian Arab Republic, other than the Islamic State.
What this means for the United States is that they will be fighting not only ISIS, but most likely the Syrian Arab Army (Assad), the Free Syrian Army (Rebels), and other guerrilla factions linked to Al-Qaeda as well. Without Russian cooperation, this is not a war that we have any chance of winning.
Many supported Donald Trump’s foreign policy not only because it took on this issue of politically maneuvering the problem of guerrilla factions through cooperation with Russia, but also because Trump said he would pull out when the job was done, which he says he will do in 30 days; but this can only be left to speculation.
Donald Trump said in the 2016 debates that we had been in the Middle East for the past 15 years and we haven’t won anything. Why would he continue to contribute to this list of foreign policy failures?
We suspect roll advisers from the previous administration may be playing a role, but that is for the reader to decide. As for now, watch closely, as we may be preparing for war.